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Robustness measures for Bayes linear analyses
Authors:Michael Goldstein and David A Wooff
Institution:

Department of Mathematical Sciences, University of Durham, South Road, Durham, DH1 3LE, UK

Abstract:We consider the role of global robustness measures in Bayes linear analysis. We suggest two such measures, one for expectation comparisons and one for variance comparisons. Geometric interpretations of the measures are presented. The approach is illustrated by considering the robustness of certain multiplicative models to assumptions of independence, with particular application to a problem arising in an asset management model for water resources.
Keywords:Bayes linear analysis  robustness  belief comparisons  sensitivity map  multiplicative models  assessing independence assumptions  bearing diagnostics  asset management plan
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