| 陕西省经济增长质量的动态研究——基于索罗模型的考察 |
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| 引用本文： | 高新才,李俊衡. 陕西省经济增长质量的动态研究——基于索罗模型的考察[J]. 西北大学学报(哲学社会科学版), 2011, 41(2): 21-25 |
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| 作者姓名： | 高新才 李俊衡 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 西北工业大学,人文与经法学院,陕西,西安,710129;兰州大学,经济学院,甘肃,兰州,730070
2. 西北工业大学,人文与经法学院,陕西,西安,710129 |
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| 摘 要： | 以索罗模型为基础,结合各项经济指标,对陕西省1990—2009年经济增长的方式、质量和稳态水平做了实证性质的分析。通过剔除价格因素,计算出全省经济的实际增长率,通过建立时间序列计量经济模型估算出了各要素的贡献率,并以此为基础得到了全要素生产率和技术进步率的值,再通过对模型中各项系数的假设和测算得到了在稳态水平下的有效人均资本和有效人均产量,随后对模型作了动态分析,得出了从2009年开始经济朝稳态水平运行的速度和到达稳态一半的水平所需的时间,最后对实证分析的精确度作了简要讨论。
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| 关 键 词： | 经济增长 索罗模型 时间序列 全要素生产率 稳态 |
Empirical Analysis of The Economic Increase in Shaanxi Province Based on Solow Model |
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| GAO Xin-cai,LI Jun-heng. Empirical Analysis of The Economic Increase in Shaanxi Province Based on Solow Model[J]. Journal of Northwest University(Philosophy and Social Sciences Edition), 2011, 41(2): 21-25 |
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| Authors: | GAO Xin-cai LI Jun-heng |
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| Affiliation: | GAO Xin-cai1,2,LI Jun-heng1(1.School of Humanities,Economics and Law,Northwestern Polytechnical University,2.School of Economics,Lanzhou University) |
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| Abstract: | This paper,based on Solow Model,makes an empirical analysis,by employing several economic indices,on the way,the quality and the trend of economic growth in Shaanxi Province from 1990 to 2009.By removing the influence of price in calculation,the real rates of economic growth during the period are available.It calculates the ratios of contributive factors through setting time series model,and then the total factor productivities and technological progress are also calculated.By estimating the coefficients in... |
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| Keywords: | economic increase Solow model time series total factor productivity steady state |
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