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Adjusting ROC curves for covariates in the presence of verification bias
Authors:Ronen Fluss  Benjamin ReiserDavid Faraggi
Institution:a Department of Health Services Research, Ministry of Health, Jerusalem, Israel
b Department of Statistics, University of Haifa, Haifa 31905, Israel
Abstract:The ROC (receiver operating characteristic) curve is frequently used for describing effectiveness of a diagnostic marker or test. Classical estimation of the ROC curve uses independent identically distributed samples taken randomly from the healthy and diseased populations. Frequently not all subjects undergo a definitive gold standard assessment of disease status (verification). Estimation of the ROC curve based on data only from subjects with verified disease status may be badly biased (verification bias). In this work we investigate the properties of the doubly robust (DR) method for estimating the ROC curve adjusted for covariates (ROC regression) under verification bias. We develop the estimator's asymptotic distribution and examine its finite sample size properties via a simulation study. We apply this procedure to fingerstick postprandial blood glucose measurement data adjusting for age.
Keywords:Diagnostic test  ROC regression  Semi-parametric  Sensitivity  Specificity
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