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On the possibility of accurate public prediction
Affiliation:1. Chair of Economic Theory, Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg (FAU), Lange Gasse 20, 90403 Nürnberg, Germany;2. Energie Campus Nürnberg, Fürther Str. 250, 90429 Nürnberg, Germany;3. Discrete Optimization, Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg (FAU), Cauerstr. 11, 91058 Erlangen, Germany;4. Industrial Organization and Energy Markets, Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nũrnberg (FAU), Lange Gasse 20, 90403 Nürnberg, Germany;1. Department of Chemistry, Centre of Advanced Study, Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi-221005, India;2. Department of Quantum Phenomena & Applications, National Physical Laboratory, Delhi, India
Abstract:Henshel's (1995) challenge to practical applicability of the theorem demonstrating the possibility of public predictions of social behavior fails, for his examples do not show discontinuity of the public behavior to the magnitude of the prediction of behavior.
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