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新媒体事件新闻话题数预测建模
引用本文:张一文,方滨兴,屈启兴,齐佳音.新媒体事件新闻话题数预测建模[J].北京邮电大学学报(北京邮电大学学报),2012,14(3):6-13.
作者姓名:张一文  方滨兴  屈启兴  齐佳音
作者单位:1. 北京邮电大学经济管理学院,北京,100876
2. 北京邮电大学计算机学院,北京,100876
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目,北京市自然科学基金项目,国家自然科学基金委员会重大研究计划项目
摘    要:新闻话题数是新媒体事件网络舆情热度高居不下的主要原因,本文从"媒体事件"与"新媒体事件"概念和区别出发,探索新媒体事件的传播机理。以新媒体事件的新闻话题数为研究抓手,提炼新媒体事件发生发展中影响新闻话题数的关键变量,并通过数学建模最终建立新闻话题数预测模型,为相关部门合理引导新媒体事件提供理论支撑。

关 键 词:新媒体事件  偏差距离  质疑度  话题数

Study on New Media Communication Rules Based on Topic Model
ZHANG Yi-wen,FANG Bin-xing,QU Qi-xing,QI Jia-yin.Study on New Media Communication Rules Based on Topic Model[J].Journal of Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications(Social Sciences Edition),2012,14(3):6-13.
Authors:ZHANG Yi-wen  FANG Bin-xing  QU Qi-xing  QI Jia-yin
Institution:1(1.School of Economics and Management,Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Beijing 100876,China;2.School of Computer,Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Beijing 100876,China)
Abstract:With the development of the Internet,a new kind of event is emerging.Researchers call them "new media event",which has great social influence.Compared with the traditional media events,the new media events enable the grass-roots not only have the right to know the events,but also have the power to change the course of events.So many researchers consider that the new media can settle disputes between the government and the public.In conclusion,research on the emerging mechanism and communication rules of the new media events is significant.In this paper,from the concepts and differences of "media event" and "new media event".We summarize the communication rules of the new media event,build the model from the perspective of number of topics.Finally,we find out the key value—query degree,which shows the great impact on number of topics.
Keywords:new media event  deviation in range  query degree  number of topic
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