LITTLE WHITE LIES AND SOCIAL SCIENCE MODELS CORRELATED RESPONSE ERRORS IN A PANEL STUDY OF VOTING |
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| Authors: | PRESSER, STANLEY TRAUGOTT, MICHAEL |
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| Affiliation: | STANLEY PRESSER is professor of sociology and director of the Survey Research Center at the University of Maryland, MICHAEL TRAUGOTT is program director in the Center for Political Studies and professor of communication at the University of Michigan. We acknowledge the helpful comments of the anonymous referees and the statistical advice of Chris Achen and John Jackson. The data analyzed here were made available by the Inter-University Consortium for Political and Social Research and were originally collected by the University of Michigan's Institute for Social Research under a grant from the National Science Foundation. Neither the Institute nor the Consortium bears responsibility for the analyses and interpretations presented here. |
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| Abstract: | One interpretation for the common survey finding that the backgroundcharacteristics of vote overreporters resemble those of actualvoters is that misreporters usually vote. This hypothesis—thatmisreporters regularly voted in earlier elections—is testedwith data from the 1972–74–76 Michigan ElectionPanel. It receives no support: the 1972 and 1974 validated turnoutof the 1976 misreporters was very low. Moreover, misreportingwas a fairly stable respondent characteristic: misreportingabout an election in one interview was correlated with misreportingabout the remaining elections in each of the other two interviews.A comparison of regressions predicting turnout using the validatedreports versus the self-reports shows that the respondent errorscan distort conclusions about the correlates of voting. Forexample, controlling for three other variables, education wasrelated to self-reported voting but not to validated voting.Here, as well as in surveys of other socially desirable or undesirableissues, respondent self-reports may bias survey data in favorof commonsense models of the world. |
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