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Bootstrap-based bias corrections for INAR count time series
Authors:C H Weiß  C Jentsch
Institution:1. Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Helmut Schmidt University, Hamburg, Germany;2. Faculty of Statistics, Technische Universit?t Dortmund, Dortmund, Germany
Abstract:Integer-valued autoregressive (INAR) processes form a very useful class of processes suitable to model time series of counts. Several practically relevant estimators based on INAR data are known to be systematically biased away from their population values, e.g. sample autocovariances, sample autocorrelations, or the dispersion index. We propose to do bias correction for such estimators by using a recently proposed INAR-type bootstrap scheme that is tailor-made for INAR processes, and which has been proven to be asymptotically consistent under general conditions. This INAR bootstrap allows an implementation with and without parametrically specifying the innovations' distribution. To judge the potential of corresponding bias correction, we compare these bootstraps in simulations to several competitors that include the AR bootstrap and block bootstrap. Finally, we conclude with an illustrative data application.
Keywords:Finite-sample bias  INAR bootstrap  AR bootstrap  block bootstrap  sample autocovariances  dispersion index
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