贵州人口老龄化,经济增长对养老保险支出影响实证研究

人口的老龄化是21世纪世界各国各地区的普遍趋势,人口老龄化问题及其对社会养老保障影响,已经引起社会各界的重视,成为国内外专家学者的研究热点。本文在利用2005年1%人口抽样和1991-2007统计数据分析贵州省人口老龄化现状及特征的基础上,运用协整分析方法,就贵州人口老龄化程度、经济增长对养老保险支出的影响做了定量探索,最后,结合现实情况和模型分析的结果对相关情况提出建议。

An Empirical Study on Population Aging,Economic Growth,Pension Insurance Expenditure in Guizhou Province

Population aging is becoming a widespread tendency in various countries and regions in the 21st century.The question of the population aging and its influence on old-age social security has already caught the attention from people of all walks of life.And it becomes a research focus to domestic and international experts.Based on the 1% sample censuses survey data of 2005 and the relevant time-series data from1991 to 2007,this paper examines the major characteristics and status of Aging of Guizhou population,then using the method of co-integration analysis to quantitative analyze the relation aging population,economic growth and Pension Insurance Expenditure.Finally,it also put forward several advices to solve Pension Insurance problem.