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北京市潜在经济增长与产业发展
引用本文:韩蓓,张连城.北京市潜在经济增长与产业发展[J].北京社会科学,2009(4).
作者姓名:韩蓓  张连城
作者单位:首都经济贸易大学,经济学院,北京,1000026
摘    要:潜在产出决定经济增长的持续性,这是影响实际经济增长的关键因素,并与生产要素、产业结构紧密联系。本文研究北京市不同产业潜在经济增长特点及变动,分析各阶段的要素贡献及产业政策;并得出结论,以研发为主导的高新技术产业和技术含量较高的现代服务业是北京市未来潜在经济增长的引擎和动力。

关 键 词:地区潜在经济增长  HP滤波  高新技术产业  现代服务业

The Potential Economic Growth and Industry Development in Beijing
HAN Pei,ZHANG Lian-cheng.The Potential Economic Growth and Industry Development in Beijing[J].Social Science of Beijing,2009(4).
Authors:HAN Pei  ZHANG Lian-cheng
Institution:HAN Pei ZHANG Lian-cheng(College of Economy,Capital University of Economics , Business,Beijing 100026,China)
Abstract:The potential output determines the continuity of economic growth. It is the determining factor that affects the actual economic growth and is closely connected with production factors and industrial structures. The paper focuses on the characteristics and changes of the potential economic growth of different industries and analyzes the factor contributions and industry policies at different stages. It concludes that the research-centred high technology industry and the modern service industry with high tec...
Keywords:potential economics growth in district  HP filter  high technology industry  modern service industry  
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