新世纪东、中、西部地区可持续发展的人口环境

我国东、中、西部地区的人口、经济和自然环境差别很大。中国政府确立了下世纪实施西部大开发战略。揭示和分析东、中、西部地区人口发展的趋势与差异 ,了解各地区可持续发展的人口环境 ,对于实现我国地区的可持续发展战略是非常必要的。本文按照“七五”期间国家划分的东、中、西部三大区域 ,对 1990～ 2 0 6 0年三大区域的人口发展趋势进行了预测。从人口规模、年龄结构和劳动力资源三个方面对东、中、西部地区发展的人口环境进行了对比分析。

The Population Environment for the Sustainable Development in the Eastern,Central and Western China at the New Century

Great gaps exist among the Easten,Central and Western China.The Fourth Plenary Session of the Fifteenth Party Central Committee has set up the strategy of developing western China.It is necessary to bring out and analyze the trends and differences of population development,and to have a better understanding of the population environment for sustainable development in these regions.Based on the three regions officially divided in the Seventh|Five|Year Plan period,the author has made a projection on population development from 1990 to 2060,and a comparative study on the population sizes,age structures and labor resources.