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Age-specific mortality trends in France and Italy since 1900: Period and cohort effects
Authors:Graziella Caselli  Jacques Vallin  James W Vaupel  Anatoli Yashin
Institution:1. Dipartimento di Scienze Demografiche, Università di Roma, Via Nomentana 41, I-00161, Roma, Italy
2. Institut National d'Etudes Démographiques, France
3. University of Minnesota, USA
4. International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Austria
Abstract:Although France and Italy currently exhibit very similar expectations of life, their mortality patterns by age and sex are not the same. The differences were much greater at the beginning of the century than they are now. Graphical presentation of the data since 1900 by age, period and birth cohort is used to explore in detail the differences in trends and to bring out, in particular, differences between the two countries in period and cohort effects. In addition to providing more details on well-known period effects — the secular decline in mortality in both countries (with Italy largely ‘catching up’ with France), and the immediate effects of the world wars — similarities and differences in cohort effects are also apparent. The two countries exhibit clear differences not only in terms of immediate casualties of the wars, but also in terms of the long-term impact of unfavourable wartime living conditions on the cohorts most affected.
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