| 山东省城镇化水平与产业结构关系的实证研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 任燕. 山东省城镇化水平与产业结构关系的实证研究[J]. 青岛化工学院学报(社会科学版), 2014, 0(2): 18-23 |
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| 作者姓名： | 任燕 |
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| 作者单位： | 青岛科技大学经济与管理学院,山东青岛266061 |
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| 基金项目： | 山东省统计科研重点课题（KT13123） |
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| 摘 要： | 山东省正处于城镇化水平迅速提高和产业结构优化升级的关键阶段，采用1978—2012年的时间序列数据，探讨山东省城镇化水平及产业结构演变的关系。通过建立协整模型和误差修正模型，从实证角度研究山东省城镇化水平与产业结构变动之间的相关性及因果关系。结果显示，山东省城镇化水平与产业结构升级之间存在长期稳定的动态均衡关系和单项因果关系。
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| 关 键 词： | 城镇化 产业结构升级 协整分析 误差修正模型 |
An empirical study on the relationship between urbanization level and industrial structure of Shandong province |
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| Affiliation: | REN Yah (College of Economics and Management, Qingdao University of Science and Technology, Qingdao 266061, China) |
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| Abstract: | Shandong province is in the key stage on which its urbanization is improving quickly and its industrial structure optimizing and upgrading. We explore the relationship between the urbanization level and industrial structure evolution of Shandong province using time series data from 1978 to 2012. We build the cointegration model and error correction model to study the dependency and the causality between the changes of urbanization level and industrial structure of Shandong province. The result shows that there is a long-term stable and dynamic equilibrium relationship and single causal relationship between the urbanization and industrial structure of Shandong province. |
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| Keywords: | urbanization industrial structure upgrading cointegration analysis error correction model |
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