中国省际要素投入与经济增长研究——基于总量生产函数的面板数据分析

通过使用一个具有资本、劳动力和能源消费作为投入的柯布道格拉斯总量生产函数, 利用2001—2010年期间中国30个省份的面板数据, 检验了中国省际要素投入与经济增长之间的作用关系, 并进行了相应政策分析。结果表明, 中国各省份的资本增量难以有效促进经济增长, 减少或者放缓资本投入势在必行, 传统产业的高技术改造乃是大势所趋;劳动力增量能够带动中国东部和中部地区的经济增长, 但阻碍了西部等欠发达省份的经济增长, 西部地区的劳动力转移和城乡一体化进程仍需加快;能源消费增量有效促进了中国大多数省份的经济增长, 节能政策需谨慎对待或者差别实行。

Study on China's Factor Input and Economic Growth:Panel Data Analysis Based on Aggregate Production Function

By using an aggregate production function model with capital, labor and energy consumption and adopting the data between 2001 and 2010, this paper studies effects from factor input to economic growth at provincial level in China. Our findings are as follows. Firstly, the capital increment can not effectively promote economic growth in China, so it is imperative to reduce or slow capital investment and it is the trend to transform traditional industries by advanced technology. Secondly, labor force significantly drives economic growth in Chinese eastern and central regions, but obstructs the development of the underdeveloped western provinces, so there is a need to speed up the labor transfer and the process of urban and rural integration in western provinces. Finally, energy consumption leads to the economic growth in most provinces, so energy conservation policies should be treated with caution.