入世以来我国农民收入变动趋势分析及收入预测

依据2001-2009年统计资料,应用洛伦兹曲线和五等分法分析评价入世以来我国农民收入变动趋势为：入世以来各省份间农民人均纯收入差距在不断缩小,而城乡收入在不断扩大;农民收入结构的变化特征为：家庭经营性收入占总收入比重出现下滑势头,工资性收入所占比重不断上涨。揭示了入世以来农业政策对提高农民收入和缩小省际间农民收入差距的积极影响;对未来我国农民收入做出预测,分析了省际间农民收入缩小的原因,同时提出了增加农民收入的对策建议。

An Analysis of the Trend of Chinese Farmers' Income Since Entering WTO and Forecast

Based on the annual statistics from 2001-2009,this paper analyses Chinese farmers' income variation trend,using Lorenz curve and quinquesection method.Since entering WTO,the farmers' net income gap among provinces was continually reducing,while the gap between urban and rural areas was enlarging.The structural character of farmers' income is that the proportion of income from family business in gross income declined but the proportion of income from wage rose during the study period.The result indicates tha...