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Posterior consistency of logistic Gaussian process priors in density estimation
Authors:Surya T Tokdar  Jayanta K Ghosh
Institution:1. Department of Statistics, Purdue University, USA;2. Division of Theoretical Statistics and Mathematics, Indian Statistical Institute, India
Abstract:We establish weak and strong posterior consistency of Gaussian process priors studied by Lenk 1988. The logistic normal distribution for Bayesian, nonparametric, predictive densities. J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 83 (402), 509–516] for density estimation. Weak consistency is related to the support of a Gaussian process in the sup-norm topology which is explicitly identified for many covariance kernels. In fact we show that this support is the space of all continuous functions when the usual covariance kernels are chosen and an appropriate prior is used on the smoothing parameters of the covariance kernel. We then show that a large class of Gaussian process priors achieve weak as well as strong posterior consistency (under some regularity conditions) at true densities that are either continuous or piecewise continuous.
Keywords:Gaussian process  Logistic transformation  Nonparametric density estimation  Posterior consistency  Sup-norm support
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