陕西省农村劳动力转移效应分析

根据陕西省1978—2008年的统计数据,应用Chenery在研究工业化与经济增长中的测算方法,分析了陕西省农村劳动力转移效应及其对总量生产率和实际GDP增长率的贡献。研究结果表明,陕西的农村劳动力转移效应较显著,农村劳动力转移对总量生产率的贡献和实际GDP增长率的贡献均逐步增加。提出了实行城乡居民的居住地管理制度、提高农民的就业技能及农民工工资水平、建立农户承包土地使用权流转和农户宅基地流转制度、城乡一体化的养老保障制度等制度建设。

Analysis on Effect of Rural Labour Shift in Shaanxi Province

Based on data from 1978—2008 in Shaanxi Statistic Yearbook(2009) and the methodology used by Chenery for studying the industralization and economic growth,this paper analyzes the effect of rural labor shift in Shaanxi province and its contributions to GDP productivity and real GDP growth rate.The result shows that the effect of rural labor shift in Shaanxi province is relative significant and its contributions to GDP productivity and real GDP growth rate are increasing steadily.Therefore,this paper puts forward several institutional constructions,such as implementing system of residential place management;improving farmers’ employment skills and the income of migrant workers,establishing transfer of farmer’s contracted land and transfer of farmer’s homestead and performing old-age security system under the integration of urban and countryside.