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Quantitative comparisons between finitary posterior distributions and Bayesian posterior distributions
Authors:Federico Bassetti
Institution:Università degli Studi di Pavia, Dipartimento di Matematica, via Ferrata 1, 27100 Pavia, Italy
Abstract:The main object of Bayesian statistical inference is the determination of posterior distributions. Sometimes these laws are given for quantities devoid of empirical value. This serious drawback vanishes when one confines oneself to considering a finite horizon framework. However, assuming infinite exchangeability gives rise to fairly tractable a posteriori quantities, which is very attractive in applications. Hence, with a view to a reconciliation between these two aspects of the Bayesian way of reasoning, in this paper we provide quantitative comparisons between posterior distributions of finitary parameters and posterior distributions of allied parameters appearing in usual statistical models.
Keywords:de Finetti's theorem  Dudley metric  Empirical distribution  Finitary Bayesian inference  Finite exchangeability  Gini-Kantorovich-Wasserstein distance  Predictive inference  Quantitative comparison of posterior distributions
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