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PROBABILITY-BASED OPTIMAL DESIGN
Authors:J M McGree  and J A Eccleston
Institution:University of Queensland
Abstract:Optimal design of experiments has generally concentrated on parameter estimation and, to a much lesser degree, on model discrimination. Often an experimenter is interested in a particular outcome and wishes to maximize in some way the probability of this outcome. We propose a new class of compound criteria and designs that address this issue for generalized linear models. The criteria offer a method of achieving designs that possess the properties of efficient parameter estimation and a high probability of a desired outcome.
Keywords:compound criteria  D-optimality  DP-optimality  generalized linear models  maximizing probability  P-optimality
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