经贸摩擦背景下中国与拉美农产品贸易分析

结合农产品生产与贸易数据，以受摩擦影响最显著的农产品为切入点，研究显示：拉美在大豆、高粱等少数产品上替代美国的潜力有限，而在食品、水产等产品上潜力较大，在水果、蔬菜、猪肉等产品上潜力巨大。但是，拉美农产品要真正进驻中国市场，在产品质量、供应链体系、国际营商环境等方面仍需改进，因此有必要加强进口农产品质量监管、推进中拉区域经济一体化、改善农产品贸易营商环境，为中国更好地应对经贸摩擦提供支撑。

The Trade Potential of Agricultural Products between China and Latin America under the Background of Economic and Trade Friction

Combining production and trade data, this article starts with the agricultural products which are mostly affected by friction and points out that Latin America has limited quantitative potential to replace the United States in soybeans and sorghum, but has great potential in food and aquatic products, and has huge potential in fruits, vegetables, pork, and other products. However, product quality, supply chain system, and international business environment should be improved if they want to enter the Chinese market. Therefore, it is necessary to strengthen the supervision of the quality of imported agricultural products, promote the regional economic integration between China and Latin America, and improve the business environment of agricultural trade, so as to provide support for China to better cope with the economic and trade frictions.