美国核政策调整与国际核不扩散机制的前景

国际核不扩散机制是美国防止核扩散,限制对手核力量以实现自身利益的重要手段,是美国维系其主导的世界核秩序的重要干预变量;而核不扩散机制的内在运行逻辑,也使得美国核政策成为决定该机制发展方向的最主要变量。因此,奥巴马政府核政策的调整,势必对核不扩散机制的维持和发展产生深刻影响。中国是现行核不扩散机制的重要参与方,美国核政策的调整必将通过国际核不扩散机制这一干预变量给中国造成直接或间接影响。

Adjustments of U.S.Nuclear Policy and Prospects for the International Non- proliferation Regime

The international Non-proliferation Regime has been used by the U.S.government as an effective instrument to prevent nuclear proliferation and to exert a restriction on its adversaries’nuclear development,so as to advance U.S.security interests.It also serves as an important intervening variable to maintain a U.S.-dominated world nuclear order.While at the same time,the U.S.nuclear policy is a key independent variable in determining the development of this regime,largely due to the U.S.role in the regime’s operating logic.Therefore,with Obama adjusting the U.S.nuclear policy,the international Non-proliferation Regime will have a different prospect.Providing that China is a major participant in the Regime,the U.S.nuclear policy adjustments will surely find a good channel to induce effects on China indirectly or directly.