专家群体思维收敛的研究

讨论一个复杂的决策问题, 专家群体决策是解决这类问题的一种有效方法. 当专家群体研讨形成了一些定性的方案之后, 用群体一致性算法, 使专家群体的思维逐渐趋于收敛, 最终达到群体意见一致. 在上述过程中主持人的作用非常重要, 他引导专家群体达成一致, 提高了群体决策的效率. 专家群体思维收敛的整个过程体现了人机结合的思想, 充分发挥了人和计算机各自的优势, 共同来解决复杂的问题.

Research on convergence of expert group thought

A comp lex decision p rob lem is discu ssed in th is paper. Expert group decision is a one ofthe effect ive m ethod to reso lve th is p rob lem. A f ter som e qualitat ive p lan s ach ieved by expert groupdiscu ssion, the con sistency of expert group though t can be ach ieved gradually by group con sistencyalgo rithm s. Du ring the above p rocedu re, ro les of the chairperson is impo rtan t, w ho conduct theexpert group to ob tain con sistency, and enhances eff iciency of group decision. The st rategy of m an2compu ter com b inat ion are ref lect in w ho le p rocedu re of convergence, du ring w h ich the advan tages ofbo th m an and compu ter are fu lly u t ilized to so lve comp lex p rob lem.