福建省农民人均生活消费支出计量分析

采用1978～2007年福建省农民人均生活消费支出、农民人均纯收入、农村居民消费价格指数、前期农民人均生活消费支出数据,运用OLS方法对影响福建省农民人均生活消费支出的因素进行相关性分析。结果表明,福建省农民人均纯收入与农民人均生活消费支出成正比;前期消费支出过高会使当期消费支出减少;消费者物价指数与农民消费支出成正比,但农村居民消费价格指数的提高只是增加农民消费支出金额,并不增加消费品数量。因此提高福建省农民人均消费水平应提高农民人均纯收入。

A Metrological Analysis of the Per Capita Nonproductive Expenditure of Farmers of Fujian Province

The data of the per capita nonproductive expenditure of farmers of Fujian Province between and 2007, their per capita net income, their consumer price index, and their pre-consumer price index 1978 are adopted. The OLS method is used to analyze the relevance of the factors above. The result shows that the nonproductive expenditure is in inverse proportion to the current nonproductive expenditure; the consumer price index is proportional to the farmers＇ nonproductive expenditure; and the improvement of the consumer price index just increases the farmers＇ nonproductive expenditure, but fails to increase the amount of the goods. A conclusion can be drawn that increasing the farmers＇ net income is the key to improvement of the farmers＇ per capita nonproductive expenditure.