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Bayesian analysis of censored linear regression models with scale mixtures of normal distributions
Authors:Aldo M Garay  Heleno Bolfarine  Celso RB Cabral
Institution:1. Department of Statistics, Campinas State University, Campinas, S?o Paulo, Brazil;2. Department of Statistics, S?o Paulo University, S?o Paulo, Brazil;3. Department of Statistics, Federal University of Amazonas, Manaus, Brazil
Abstract:As is the case of many studies, the data collected are limited and an exact value is recorded only if it falls within an interval range. Hence, the responses can be either left, interval or right censored. Linear (and nonlinear) regression models are routinely used to analyze these types of data and are based on normality assumptions for the errors terms. However, those analyzes might not provide robust inference when the normality assumptions are questionable. In this article, we develop a Bayesian framework for censored linear regression models by replacing the Gaussian assumptions for the random errors with scale mixtures of normal (SMN) distributions. The SMN is an attractive class of symmetric heavy-tailed densities that includes the normal, Student-t, Pearson type VII, slash and the contaminated normal distributions, as special cases. Using a Bayesian paradigm, an efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm is introduced to carry out posterior inference. A new hierarchical prior distribution is suggested for the degrees of freedom parameter in the Student-t distribution. The likelihood function is utilized to compute not only some Bayesian model selection measures but also to develop Bayesian case-deletion influence diagnostics based on the q-divergence measure. The proposed Bayesian methods are implemented in the R package BayesCR. The newly developed procedures are illustrated with applications using real and simulated data.
Keywords:Bayesian modeling  censored regression models  MCMC  scale mixtures of normal distributions  Bayesian diagnostics
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