甘肃省人口城镇化的发展与预测

本文回顾了1960年以来甘肃省城镇化的发展历程,分析了甘肃省城镇化的现状及存在的问题,在此基础上采用社会经济发展指标与城镇化水平指标之间的统计关系,对甘肃省人口城镇化的水平进行了预测,结果表明,甘肃省人口城镇化如果继续按照目前的模式发展,前景不容乐现.最后,就城镇发展指导思想、城镇建设投资体制改革、城镇化道路、城镇化形式和户籍制度等方面提出了甘肃省城镇化发展的对策建议.

The history present and future of population urbanization in Gansu province

In reviewing the history of population urbanization development since 1960, an analysis is made on the present character and problem of population urbanization in Gansu province. Based on this, with the statistical relationship between the indicators of economic and the levels of population urbanization, the urbanization population in Gansu province is predicted. Results show that the future development of population urbanization in Gansu province is not optimistic according to the present development mode. Finally, the focus on the urban development strategy, the investment system of urban construction, the way and mode of urbanization and social security census register system is put forward to the population urbanization of Gansu province.