中国西部地区“四化”协调发展及其影响因素分析

基于中国西部地区省际面板数据,通过建立CCR-HR模型测算"四化"效率值及协调度,测算结果表明:西部地区"四化"协调发展水平整体不高,"四化"协调发展程度随着时间的发展越来越好,地域之间存在较大的差异;农业现代化发展水平的滞后是导致"四化"协调发展失衡的重要原因,以农业现代化为切入点,建立面板Ologit模型对"四化"协调发展的影响因素进行分析,分析结果显示:农业固定资产投资和农业劳动力对"四化"效率的提高有正向推动作用,农业机械化、有效灌溉面积、化肥施用量以及农业劳动力的增加可以提高"四化"协调度,农业劳动力不仅影响"四化"效率而且影响"四化"协调度。

Factor Analysis on"Four-Modernization"Coordinated Development and Its Influences of the Western Region in China

Based on panel data of provinces in the western of China,"four-modernization" efficiency value and coordination degree is measured through building CCR-HR model.The measurement result indicates that the overall coordinated development level of "four-modernization"in the western region is not high.The "four-modernization" coordinated development degree is better and better along with the time passing by.There is great difference among the regions.The lagging-behind development of agriculture modernization is the key reason for causing imbalance in "four-modernization" coordinated development.Therefore,by beginning with agricultural modernization,the influencing factors of "four-modernization"coordinated development are analyzed by building panel Ologit model.The results show that the fixed asset investment and labor force of agriculture play a positive role in enhancing the efficiency of"four-modernization".The "four-modernization" coordination degree can be increased by increasing agricultural mechanization,effective irrigation area,chemical fertilizer application rate and agricultural labor forces.The agricultural labor forces influences on efficiency and coordination degree of "four-modernization".