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The fragility of the KPSS stationarity test
Authors:Nunzio Cappuccio  Diego Lubian
Affiliation:1. Department of Economics, University of Padova, via del Santo 33, 35123, Padova, Italy
2. Department of Economics, University of Verona, via dell’Università, 37129, Verona, Italy
Abstract:Stationarity tests exhibit extreme size distortions if the observable process is stationary yet highly persistent. In this paper we provide a theoretical explanation for the size distortion of the KPSS test for DGPs with a broad range of first order autocorrelation coefficient. Considering a near-integrated, nearly stationary process we show that the asymptotic distribution of the test contains an additional term, which can potentially explain the amount of size distortion documented in previous simulation studies.
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