外商直接投资与中国经济增长关系的实证分析

外商直接投资(Foreign Direct Investment,简称FDI)对于我国经济发展的作用,在学术界一直存在争议。本文根据经过预处理的1985—2004中国有关年度经济数据,进行了时间序列平稳性检验、协整检验(Johansen极大似然方法)和格兰杰因果检验,实证分析了外商在中国直接投资与中国经济增长之间存在的长期稳定关系,证实了外商直接投资是我国经济增长的一个重要原因,并提出一些政策建议。

Positive Analysis of the relation between Foreign Direct Investment and China''''s Economic Growth

The role that the foreign direct investment(FDI) plays in the development of our economy is always in dispute in the academic field. Based on the pre-treated Chinese annual economic data from 1985 to 2004,the paper makes the time series stability test,the co-integration test(Johansen maximum likelihood method) and Grenger causal test,and makes a positive analysis of the long-term stable relation between the foreign direct investment in China and the growth of China's economy,which proves that the foreign direct investment is an important cause for the growth of our economy.Some suggestions concerning policies are presented.