Stepping stones for the unemployed: the effect of temporary jobs on the duration until (regular) work |
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Authors: | Marloes de Graaf-Zijl Gerard J. van den Berg Arjan Heyma |
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Affiliation: | (1) AIAS Amsterdam Institute for Advanced Labour Studies, University of Amsterdam, Plantage Muidergracht 12, 1018 TV Amsterdam, The Netherlands;(2) VU University Amsterdam, De Boelelaan 1105, 1081 HV Amsterdam, The Netherlands;(3) IFAU-Uppsala, Uppsala, Sweden;(4) IZA, Bonn, Germany;(5) CEPR, London, UK;(6) IFS, London, UK;(7) SEO Economic Research, Roetersstraat 29, 1018 WB Amsterdam, The Netherlands |
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Abstract: | Transitions from unemployment into temporary work are often succeeded by a transition from temporary into regular work. This paper investigates whether temporary work increases the transition rate to regular work. We use longitudinal survey data of individuals to estimate a multi-state duration model, applying the ‘timing of events’ approach. The data contain multiple spells in labour market states at the individual level. We analyse results using novel graphical representations, which unambiguously show that temporary jobs shorten the unemployment duration, although they do not increase the fraction of unemployed workers having regular work within a few years after entry into unemployment. |
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