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Consequentialist foundations for expected utility
Authors:Peter J Hammond
Institution:(1) Department of Economics, Stanford University, Stanford, U.S.A.
Abstract:Behaviour norms are considered for decision trees which allow both objective probabilities and uncertain states of the world with unknown probabilities. Terminal nodes have consequences in a given domain. Behaviour is required to be consistent in subtrees. Consequentialist behaviour, by definition, reveals a consequence choice function independent of the structure of the decision tree. It implies that behaviour reveals a revealed preference ordering satisfying both the independence axiom and a novel form of sure-thing principle. Continuous consequentialist behaviour must be expected utility maximizing. Other plausible assumptions then imply additive utilities, subjective probabilities, and Bayes' rule.
Keywords:Expected utility  subjective probability  decision trees  Bayes' rule  consequentialist behaviour
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