| 人民币实际汇率对厦门市贸易收支影响的实证分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 林文,刘庆辉,陈慧萍.人民币实际汇率对厦门市贸易收支影响的实证分析[J].福建农林大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2012,15(5):41-45. |
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| 作者姓名： | 林文 刘庆辉 陈慧萍 |
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| 作者单位： | 福建师范大学福清分校经济法律系,福建福清,350300 |
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| 基金项目： | 福建省社会科学规划研究项目(2011B112) |
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| 摘 要： | 利用2006年8月至2011年9月的人民币实际有效汇率与厦门市贸易收支的月度数据,通过建立向量自回归模型对各经济变量关系进行实证分析,由此发现人民币实际有效汇率与厦门市贸易收支之间存在长期协整关系,但并不显著,即人民币实际汇率并非是影响厦门市贸易收支的主要因素,汇率政策的变动对改善厦门市贸易收支的影响无明显效果。
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| 关 键 词： | 人民币实际汇率 厦门市 贸易收支 |
An empirical analysis on the effect of RMB real exchange rate on Xiamen trade balance |
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| LIN Wen
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LIU Qing-hui
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CHEN Hui-ping.An empirical analysis on the effect of RMB real exchange rate on Xiamen trade balance[J].Journal of Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University,2012,15(5):41-45. |
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| Authors: | LIN Wen LIU Qing-hui CHEN Hui-ping |
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| Institution: | (Department of Economics and Law,Fuqing Branch of Fujian Normal University,Fuqing,Fujian 350300,China) |
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| Abstract: | With the monthly data of RMB real effective exchange rate and Xiamen trade balance from Aug,2006 to Sep,2011,an empirical analysis of each economic variable relationship is conducted through establishing vector regression models.The long-term cointegration relationship between RMB real effective exchange rate and Xiamen trade balance is discovered but insignificant.Therefore,the RMB real exchange rate is not the main factor to affect Xiamen trade balance.Exchange rate balance is not efficient for improvement of Xiamen trade balance. |
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| Keywords: | RMB real exchange rate Xiamen trade balance |
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