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Exploring the implications of different loan-to-value macroprudential policy designs
Authors:R Basto  S Gomes  D Lima
Institution:1. Banco de Portugal, Financial Stability Department, Rua Castilho, 24 -2o., 1269-179, Lisbon, Portugal;2. Nova SBE, Portugal;3. Banco de Portugal, Economic Research Department, Av. Almirante Reis 71, 1150-012 Lisbon, Portugal
Abstract:We evaluate the macroeconomic effects of changes in loan-to-value ratios in a multi-country model with financial frictions and a banking sector. Main findings suggest that a permanent LTV tightening in a small euro area economy leads to a long-run decline in lending to the private sector. The short-run impact depends crucially on the policy design, being less pronounced when the measure is phased-in. This is consistent with policy goals of curbing credit growth but avoiding an abrupt immediate contraction. A euro area wide measure implies larger long-run effects but the short-run recessionary impact is attenuated by the monetary policy response.
Keywords:E58  E61  F42  Macroprudential policy  Loan-to-value ratio  Financial frictions
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