产业生命周期规律、异化及其影响--以我国高新技术产业为例

传统上认为产业生命周期包括萌芽期、成长期、成熟期和衰退期.这没有揭示产业生命周期的本质特征.实际上产业生命周期应该包括自然垄断、全面竞争、产业重组和蜕变创新四个阶段.这一周期在一定的条件下还会发生各种异化现象,并将对一定的国家的产业产生不同的影响.就我国而言,由于受加入WTO等多种因素的影响,一些高新技术产业必然会发生这样或那样的异化,它们有利也有弊,但总体上是利大于弊.

The Life Cycle of Industry: Law and Alienation with its Influence--An Example from High Tech of China

It is traditionally considered that the life cycle of industry consists of four phases: embryonic period, growing period, maturing period, and decaying period. This view fails to reveal the essential properties of the life cycle of industry. In fact, the life cycle should include the periods of natural monopoly, all-round competition, industrial regrouping, and transmutation and renewal. Moreover, under the influence of certain factors, the life cycle may undergo a process of dissimilation and exert different influences on the industrial development of certain countries. As far as China is concerned, owing to the influence of such factors as WTO, some hi-tech industries will inevitably be dissimitated. The dissimilation is both advantageous and disadvantageous, but generally more advantageous than disadvantageous.