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大城市“80后”群体生育意愿现状及差异分析——以上海静安区为例
引用本文:赵琳华,吴瑞君,梁翠玲.大城市“80后”群体生育意愿现状及差异分析——以上海静安区为例[J].南京人口管理干部学院学报,2014(1):55-59,80.
作者姓名:赵琳华  吴瑞君  梁翠玲
作者单位:华东师范大学中国现代城市研究中心/人口研究所,上海200241
摘    要:利用上海市静安区"80后"青年生育意愿调查资料,描述了大城市"80后"群体的生育意愿现状,并运用logistic回归模型,从生育的目的、时间、数量、性别偏好四个维度分析了该群体人口社会经济特征对生育意愿的影响程度。研究发现,大城市"80后"青年群体之间在生育目的和生育时间方面并没有表现出统计学显著性差异,而在生育数量和生育性别偏好方面则存在显著性差异,受教育程度和收入水平是导致其生育意愿差异的主要影响因素。

关 键 词:“80后”青年  独生子女  生育意愿  生育数量  生育性别偏好  生育政策

The Variance of Desire for Giving Birth of the Post-1980 Metropolis Young People : A Case Study of Jing'an District in Shanghai
Abstract:Based on the survey data in Jing'an district of Shanghai, the paper described the post - 1980 youth's desire for giving birth and it analysed, by using the logistic regression model, how the population's social eco- nomical status impact the desire in viewing their childbearing purpose, time, number of children and gender preference. It shows that there is no significant difference in the purpose and time; however, there is significant difference in the preference for child numbers and gender; in addition, education and income serve as the major influencing factors.
Keywords:the post - 1980 youth  a single child  desire for giving birth  number of children  gender prefer-ence  fertility policy
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