| 基于繁殖规律的生猪市场供应模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 周异. 基于繁殖规律的生猪市场供应模型[J]. 华南农业大学学报(社会科学版), 2009, 8(1): 47-51 |
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| 作者姓名： | 周异 |
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| 作者单位： | 华南师范大学,经济管理学院,广东,广州,510006 |
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| 摘 要： | 生猪生产具有发散性蛛网效应的特点，目前市场的波动正在加剧之中。基于生猪繁殖的自然规律特点，构建了一个易于分析与预测的生猪生产模型。分析显示，目前的生猪市场正在酝酿一场新的危机。导致市场波动的根源在于及时、准确信息的缺失，致使养殖者对母猪盲目的补栏。
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| 关 键 词： | 生猪波动 蛛网模型 生猪供应模型 |
The Hog Cycle Model:Based on the Natural Law of the Breeding Pigs |
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| ZHOU Yi. The Hog Cycle Model:Based on the Natural Law of the Breeding Pigs[J]. Journal of South China Agricultural University:Social Science Edition, 2009, 8(1): 47-51 |
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| Authors: | ZHOU Yi |
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| Affiliation: | ZHOU Yi (College of Economics ＆ Management, South China Normal University, Guangzhou 510006, China) |
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| Abstract: | Based on the characteristics of the natural law of the breeding pigs,this paper established an easy to-analysis and forecast of the production model of hogs.The analysis shows that the current market is making a new crisis.The root of market volatility lies in lack of timely and accurate information,which in turn results in the blind production made by the farmers. |
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| Keywords: | pigs the cobweb theorem the hog cycle model |
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