|
|||||
|
|
| 灰色系统理论及其在旅游预测中的应用——以广西桂林为例 | |
| 引用本文： | 唐晓云,赵黎明,秦彬.灰色系统理论及其在旅游预测中的应用——以广西桂林为例[J].西安电子科技大学学报(社会科学版),2007,17(2):1-5. |
| 作者姓名： | 唐晓云 赵黎明 秦彬 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 天津大学,管理学院,天津,3000721;桂林工学院,旅游学院,广西,桂林,541004 2. 天津大学,管理学院,天津,3000721 3. 桂林工学院,旅游学院,广西,桂林,541004 |
| 摘 要： | 论文简要介绍了灰色系统理论及GM(1,1)灰色预测模型,针对旅游系统的特点,结合旅游预测研究的目的,将灰色预测模型GM(1,1)运用于区域旅游预测中,并以广西桂林为算例进行预测,获得较好的预测效果。 |
| 关 键 词： | 灰色理论 旅游 预测 |
| 文章编号： | 1008-472X(2007)02-0001-05 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006年10月25 |
Grey System Theory and Its Application to Tourism Market Forecasting——Take Guilin as an Example |
|
| TANG Xiao-yun,ZHAO Li-ming,QIN Bin.Grey System Theory and Its Application to Tourism Market Forecasting——Take Guilin as an Example[J].Journal of Xidian University (Social Sciences Edition),2007,17(2):1-5. | |
| Authors: | TANG Xiao-yun ZHAO Li-ming QIN Bin |
| Abstract: | The grey system theory and GM(1,1) grey forecasting model are briefly analyzed in this paper.In view of characteristics of the tourism system,and combining with the purpose of the tourism market forecasting,grey forecasting model GM(1,1) is applied to the regional tourism forecasting.Finally,an example of Guilin in Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region is taken to illustrate the application of the model with satisfactory results obtained. |
| Keywords: | GM(1 1) |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ | |