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Ambiguity and risk taking in organizations
Authors:Zur Shapira
Institution:1. Department of Management, New York University, 44 West 4th St., #7-59, 10012, New York, NY
Abstract:Kunreuther, Meszaros, and Hogarth (1993) argue that insurers are risk averse and ambiguity averse, and that they use cognitive reference points and constraints in making pricing decisions. They further claim that insurer ambiguity may be a factor that has a role in market failure at the industry level. Arguably, ambiguity may be an important aspect of decision behavior. In this article, research on managerial risk taking is reviewed with a focus on the relationship between ambiguity and risk taking. In particular, the effects of the organizational and institutional context are highlighted. It is argued that the political aspects of insurer decision behavior should be considered as well. Implications for further study and understanding of decision making are discussed.
Keywords:ambiguity  risk taking  decision behavior  organizations
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