| 2001-2010年天津市城镇住宅需求量预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 刘戈,刘尔烈. 2001-2010年天津市城镇住宅需求量预测[J]. 天津大学学报(社会科学版), 2002, 4(2): 122-125 |
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| 作者姓名： | 刘戈 刘尔烈 |
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| 作者单位： | 天津大学管理学院,天津,300072 |
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| 摘 要： | 对城镇居民住宅的有效需求进行了分析与预测 ;根据天津市的历史资料以及现状 ,结合经济增长以及人口的变动 ,用回归分析法 ,建立数学模型 ,对 2 0 0 1～ 2 0 10年天津市城镇住宅市场进行了预测与分析 ,并通过恩格尔系数 ,对天津市城镇居民住房消费支出比例进行了预测 ,从而对住宅市场的发展 ,具有一定的指导作用
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| 关 键 词： | 人均可支配收入 人均居住面积 有效需求 |
| 文章编号： | 1008-4339(2002)02-0122-04 |
| 修稿时间： | 2002-01-07 |
Prediction of Housing Demands of Tianjin Urban Residents During the Years From 2002 to 2010 |
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| LIU Ge,LIU Er lie. Prediction of Housing Demands of Tianjin Urban Residents During the Years From 2002 to 2010[J]. Journal of Tianjin University(Social Sciences), 2002, 4(2): 122-125 |
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| Authors: | LIU Ge LIU Er lie |
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| Abstract: | This paper analyzes and predicts the valid demands of housing of the urban residents.According to the past and present recorded materials of Tianjin,considering the economic increase and the population growth,it establishes some mathematical models by means of the regression analysis,and then analyses the housing market of Tianjin during the years from 2001 to 2010.Meanwhile it predicts the housing consumption proportion of Tianjin urban residents by the engel coefficient,which can somewhat guide the developing of housing market. |
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| Keywords: | average per capita disposable income average per capita living space valid demand |
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