| 我国海外石油开发利用的国家风险评估 |
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| 引用本文： | 范体军,张莉莉,常香云,楼高翔.我国海外石油开发利用的国家风险评估[J].管理学报,2011,8(6):943-948. |
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| 作者姓名： | 范体军 张莉莉 常香云 楼高翔 |
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| 作者单位： | 华东理工大学商学院 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金资助项目(70871038,71010107011); 科技部国家科技支撑计划资助项目(2006BAB08B01); 教育部人文社会科学基金资助项目(093YJC630071); 上海市教育委员会科研创新重点项目(09ZS65) |
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| 摘 要： | 在对我国海外石油开发利用国家风险因素进行分析的基础上,运用模糊综合评判法构建海外石油开发利用风险评估模型,并基于层次分析法对相关风险指标体系进行权重确定;同时,选取了我国海外石油开发利用涉及的一些典型地区或国家进行石油开发利用风险评估。研究发现:政治风险是影响海外石油开发利用的非常重要风险因素;我国在中东地区进行石油开发利用的风险最大,其次是西非、北非以及俄罗斯地区。
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| 关 键 词： | 海外石油开发 风险评估 模糊综合评判 |
Risk Assessment for Overseas Petroleum Development and Utilization |
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| FAN Tijun,ZHANG Lili,CHANG Xiangyun,LOU Gaoxiang.Risk Assessment for Overseas Petroleum Development and Utilization[J].Chinese JOurnal of Management,2011,8(6):943-948. |
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| Authors: | FAN Tijun ZHANG Lili CHANG Xiangyun LOU Gaoxiang |
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| Institution: | FAN Tijun ZHANG Lili CHANG Xiangyun LOU Gaoxiang(East China University of Science and Technology,Shanghai,China) |
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| Abstract: | On the basis of analysis of risk factors of overseas oil development and utilization,we build risk assessment model of overseas oil development and utilization by using fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method and sort the risk level by means of AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process).Furthermore,the paper aims to select some typical countries or regions to evaluate risk of petroleum development and utilization.The results show that political risks is a very important risk factors affecting the overseas oil developmen... |
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| Keywords: | overseas petroleum development risk assessment fuzzy comprehensive evaluation |
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