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Minimax prediction in the linear model with a relative squared error
Authors:Maciej Wilczyński
Institution:1. Institute of Mathematics and Computer Science, Wroc?aw University of Technology, Wybrze?e Wyspia??skiego 27, 50-370, Wroc?aw, Poland
Abstract:Arnold and Stahlecker (Stat Pap 44:107–115, 2003) considered the prediction of future values of the dependent variable in the linear regression model with a relative squared error and deterministic disturbances. They found an explicit form for a minimax linear affine solution d* of that problem. In the paper we generalize this result proving that the decision rule d* is also minimax when the class D{\mathcal{D}} of possible predictors of the dependent variable is unrestricted. Then we show that d* remains minimax in D{\mathcal{D}} when the disturbances are random with the mean vector zero and the known positive definite covariance matrix.
Keywords:
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