| 经济增长的收入“门槛”效应及其阶段特征——兼评“中等收入陷阱”之说 |
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| 引用本文： | 徐康宁,陈丰龙.经济增长的收入“门槛”效应及其阶段特征——兼评“中等收入陷阱”之说[J].东南大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2013,15(1). |
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| 作者姓名： | 徐康宁 陈丰龙 |
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| 作者单位： | 东南大学经济管理学院,江苏南京,210096 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家社会科学基金重点项目"当前国际资源环境变化背景下加快我国经济发展方式转变的研究",国家社科基金重点项目"新时期区域协调发展的内涵、目标与推进战略研究" |
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| 摘 要： | 经济增长的收入"门槛"主要集中于低收入阶段到中等收入阶段,即世界银行所划分的标准中1005美元前后。当进入中等收入阶段后,人均GDP4000-6000美元容易成为部分国家向上攀升的一个"门槛"。但是,经济增长的"门槛"更容易在低收入阶段出现,除少数国家外,许多中等收入国家难以跨入高收入阶段是因为经历太长的低收入阶段,或者说进入中等收入阶段的时间太晚。从学理上看,增长"陷阱"与中等收入阶段并无内在联系,中等收入更不是"陷阱"的原因。"中等收入陷阱"之说得不到普遍性事实的验证,更不是一个经济发展规律。
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| 关 键 词： | 经济增长 “门槛”效应 中等收入陷阱 |
The threshold effect of economic growth and its characteristics: the middle income trap |
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| Abstract: | This paper studies the income threshold effect in economic growth from the perspectives of theory and statistical analysis.The results show that the threshold effect mainly concentrates in levels from low income to middle income.Above the middle income level,per capita GDP of 4000-6000 dollars may well be a threshold for some countries.The further study shows that threshold is actually more possible in the low income level in that a number of middle-income countries have experienced a long period of low income or that they joined the middle-income group too late.It is concluded that there is no correlation between the growth trap and middle income level and the so-called middle income trap is not a law of economic development. |
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