基于生产主体经济视角的水禽供给研究

运用Nerlove模型对1997-2011年我国鸭肉年产量和市场价格的年度数据进行了实证分析。结果表明,肉鸭的短期供给弹性为0.139 0,长期供给弹性为0.663 5,表现为长期弹性大于短期弹性,且二者弹性值均小于1。基于生产主体经济视角,讨论了水禽产业供给特点的成因。提出了促进水禽产业持续和稳定发展的政策建议:依托技术进步提高生产率;完善水禽产业数据库;提高水禽生产者素质;加大政府对水禽产业的支持力度。

Study on Supply of Waterfowls Based on Economic Perspective of Production Body

The study makes empirical analyses on annual production and the market price of duck from 1997 to 2011. The result shows that the short-term supply elasticity of the duck is 0. 139 0, the long-term supply elasticity is 0. 663 5, both are less than 1. Based on the characters of duck supply and economic perspective of main production body, this paper analyzes the reasons of such supply character- istics of waterfowls industry, and proposes the policy suggestions on how to push forward the sustain- ability and stability of waterfowl industry. First, promoting the production efficiency with the help of technological progress; secondly, perfecting waterfowl industry database; thirdly, cultivating high-qual- ity waterfowl producer team and finally, strengthening government support for waterfowl industry.