武汉市改革开放以来就业变化与经济发展的关系研究——基于就业经济增长弹性的分析

从总量和产业结构两方面分析武汉市改革开放以来就业变化与经济发展的关系,以1992年为时间分界,对市场经济体制确立前后两个阶段的平均就业GDP弹性进行测算,验证了武汉市就业结构的变化与产业结构的演进趋向同步。目前,武汉市第三产业的发展发挥着吸纳第一、第二产业剩余劳动力的重要作用。对第三产业2005-2008年的就业人数分析预测,为未来4年武汉市就业结构优化及经济发展提供信息支持。

Relationship between employment change and economic development in Wuhan since reform and opening-up: an analysis based on employment growth elasticity

From the perspectives of total economic amount and industrial structure,this paper investigates the relationship between employment change and economic development in Wuhan since the introduction of reform and opening-up policy.It takes the year of 1992 as the dividing line and calculates the average employment-GDP elasticity in the two periods,before and after the establishment of market economy system.It has illustrated that the change in employment structure in Wuhan corresponds to that of industrial structure in the city.At present,the third industry is taking in surplus labor laid off from the first and the second industries.And the prediction of employment in the third industry between 2005-2009,which has been made in the paper,will serve as good reference for the optimization of industrial structure and economic development in Wuhan in the coming 4 years.