首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
     检索      

基于神经网络的洪水灾害预测方法
引用本文:魏一鸣,范英,傅继良,徐伟宣.基于神经网络的洪水灾害预测方法[J].中国管理科学,2000,8(3):58-63.
作者姓名:魏一鸣  范英  傅继良  徐伟宣
作者单位:中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所, 北京100080
基金项目:中国科学院资助项目,国家自然科学基金委员会-水利部长江水利委员会联合资助项目 
摘    要:在工程应用的实际预测中,主要有两类不同性质的问题,一类是强结构化问题,另一类是弱结构化问题。而洪水灾害系统的预测问题,基本上属于弱结构化问题。人工神经网络是处理弱结构化问题的强有力的工具,人工神经网络所具有的一些特征表明了它适用于洪水灾害的预测。本文建立了用于洪水灾害预测的人工神经网络模型,阐述了其基本原理,并结合实例说明了其应用。

关 键 词:人工神经网络  预测  洪水灾害  
收稿时间:2000-02-15;
修稿时间:2000-06-01

Neural Network Based Predicative Method for Flood Disaster
WEI Yi-ming,FAN Ying,FU Ji-liang,XU Wei-xuan.Neural Network Based Predicative Method for Flood Disaster[J].Chinese Journal of Management Science,2000,8(3):58-63.
Authors:WEI Yi-ming  FAN Ying  FU Ji-liang  XU Wei-xuan
Institution:Institute of Policy & Management, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100080, China
Abstract:There are two types of predicative problems about the practical predication in the engineering application,one is called the well-structured problem,another is called ill-structured problem But most of problems on the flood disaster predication belong to the ill-structured problem Artificial Neural Network(ANN) is a powerful effective tool to deal with this kinds of ill-structured problems ANN has several characteristics that indicate its suitability for the flood disaster predication problem In this paper,the Neural Network model for flood disaster predication is formulated Its principle is described,and then illustrated with an example.
Keywords:Artificial Neural Network  predicative model  flood disaster  
本文献已被 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录!
点击此处可从《中国管理科学》浏览原始摘要信息
点击此处可从《中国管理科学》下载免费的PDF全文
设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号