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防范CPI上涨风险的研究——基于货币供应量角度的分析
引用本文:刘永,吴先满.防范CPI上涨风险的研究——基于货币供应量角度的分析[J].重庆工商大学学报(社会科学版),2008,25(3):36-39.
作者姓名:刘永  吴先满
作者单位:1. 南京农业大学,经济管理学院,江苏,南京,210095
2. 江苏省社科院财贸研究所,江苏,南京,210095
摘    要:影响CPI的诸多因素中,货币供应量一直是争论的焦点.在中国货币政策独立性与有效性的约束机制尚未健全的情况下,货币供应量从何种程度上影响CPI备受关注.本文通过实证分析,不仅得出了货币供应量对cPI有着正向的影响,而且量化得出了货币供应量对CPI具体的影响程度.最后根据研究结果提出了几点建议.

关 键 词:CPI  货币供应量  经济增长  平稳性检验  风险  研究  货币供应量  实证分析  Rising  Risk  Preventing  Research  supply  money  based  结果  量化  程度  情况  约束机制  有效性  政策独立性  中国  焦点

Research on Preventing the Risk of CPI Rising——Analysis based on the money supply
LIU Yong,WU Xian-man.Research on Preventing the Risk of CPI Rising——Analysis based on the money supply[J].Journal of Chongqing Technology and Business University Social Science Edition,2008,25(3):36-39.
Authors:LIU Yong  WU Xian-man
Institution:LIU Yong,WU Xian-man(1.Ecnomic Management School of Nanjing Agricultueral University,Nanjing 210095,2.Financial Research Agency Jiangsu social sicence Insititute,Nanjing 210095)
Abstract:In many factors,money supply has been the point of contention for affecting CPI.Recently,the independence and effectiveness of the mechanisms of monetary policy have not yet been perfect.Therefore,to which extent money supply has influenced CPI has drawn great attention.This paper empirically analyses this problem,and finds out that there exists a positive relation between each other,Most importantly finds out the specific extent of the effect.Finally we give some recommendations based on this paper.
Keywords:CPI  money supply  ecomomic-devolepment  ADF ECM  
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