| 中国育龄妇女生育集中度变化分析——基于“五普”、“六普”数据 |
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| 引用本文： | 徐行,梁海艳.中国育龄妇女生育集中度变化分析——基于“五普”、“六普”数据[J].南方人口,2013,28(3):1-7,37. |
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| 作者姓名： | 徐行 梁海艳 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 南浔区博士后科研工作站,浙江湖州,313013
2. 中国人民大学社会与人口学院,北京,100872 |
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| 摘 要： | 新中国成立以来,结束了上千年的封建制度给妇女带来的桎梏,妇女的社会地位有了明显的提升,具体表现在社会活动的参与率有了显著的提高,同时妇女在生育行为方面也发生了巨大的变化。本文利用最近两次中国人口普查数据来分析育龄妇女的生育集中度变化情况,并以此对中国目前TFR很低的现象做了解释,据此推断中国在未来几年的时间,总和生育率在一定程度上会呈上升的变化趋势,但不可能在短期内回升到更替水平。
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| 关 键 词： | 育龄妇女 TFR 累计生育率 生育集中度 |
An Analysis of the Fertility Concentration Ratio of Reproductive Women in China |
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| XU Hang
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LIANG Hai-yan.An Analysis of the Fertility Concentration Ratio of Reproductive Women in China[J].South China Population,2013,28(3):1-7,37. |
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| Authors: | XU Hang LIANG Hai-yan |
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| Institution: | XU Hang, LIANG Hal-yan 1.The Post-doctoral research workstation of Nanxun district, Huzhou 313013; 2. Society and Population Institute of Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872 |
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| Abstract: | The founding of PRC brought an end of the shackles of feudalism on women and bought about tremendous improvement of women＇s social status, women enjoyed increasingly high participation in social activities and their reproductive behavior experienced great changes since then. Based on the data from the past two censuses, this article analyzes the changes in the fertility concentration ratio of reproductive women in China and explores the causes of lower TFR at present. The findings show that TFR in China may tend to rise up in the coming several years, however TFR is impossible to return to the level of replacement. |
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| Keywords: | Reproductive Women TFR Cumulative Fertility Rate Fertility Concentration Ratio |
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