当代劳动力参与水平和模式变动研究

文章以世界劳工组织和联合国发布的劳动力参与相关数据为基础,应用STATA面板数据模型和AMOS结构方程模型,对当代分性别劳动力参与水平和模式变动趋势及其影响因素进行分析。研究发现,当代男性劳动力参与率持续降低,女性劳动力参与率先升后降。转变的基本规律是向劳动力参与时间不断缩短,学习和自由发展时间不断延长的方向发展。经济、教育、低龄组的劳动力参与率和人口年龄结构对这一转变有重要影响。加强学习型社会建设,普遍提高受教育年限,降低低龄组、次低龄组的劳动力参与率,在增加劳动力数量、质量供给方面具有根本性作用。

The Dynamics of Labor Force Participation Level and Mode

Using both STATA panel data model and AMOS structural equation model,based on labor force participation data published by the WCL and UN,this paper has made a gender analysis of current labor force participation with focusing on its level trend and correlative factors.This study indicates that men’s labor force participation rate is declining continuously,and the women’s is increasing earlier and then declining.The fundamental transformation of labor force participation rate takes a trend with shortening in work time and expanding in learning and free developing time.The economic status,education level,labor force participation rate of young age group and age structure have played important roles in this transformation.The keys to increase labor force with both good quantity and quality are to promote a learning society,to delay those young and minor age groups into labor force by extending schooling years.