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安徽省工业企业调查状况与分析——基于2010年度调查与数据
引用本文:黄燕.安徽省工业企业调查状况与分析——基于2010年度调查与数据[J].合肥工业大学学报(社会科学版),2012,26(2):40-46.
作者姓名:黄燕
作者单位:中国人民银行合肥中心支行,合肥,230022
摘    要:根据中国人民银行合肥中心支行对2010年度安徽省156户样本工业企业开展的调研,通过财务数据分析、问卷调查、因子分析模型运用等方法,得出结论:2010年安徽省工业企业景气状况虽有波动,但总体处于自2005年以来历史最优区间,总体竞争力稳定增强。运用ARIMA模型预测2011年我省企业将保持平稳增长的态势,增幅变化甚微;找出当前应关注的突出问题,并提出相关政策建议。

关 键 词:工业企业  调查  因子分析模型  ARIMA模型预测

Investigation and Analysis of Industrial Enterprises in Anhui Province Based on 2010 Annual Survey and Data
HUANG Yan.Investigation and Analysis of Industrial Enterprises in Anhui Province Based on 2010 Annual Survey and Data[J].Journal of Hefei University of Technology(Social Sciences),2012,26(2):40-46.
Authors:HUANG Yan
Institution:HUANG Yan(Hefei Central Sub-branch,The People’s Bank of China,Hefei 230022,China)
Abstract:According to the investigation of 156 samples of industrial enterprises in Anhui Province carried out by Hefei Central Sub-branch,The People’s Bank of China in 2010,and through the financial data analysis,questionnaires and factor analysis modeling,the conclusions are drawn as follows: in the year of 2010,the industrial enterprises in Anhui Province were in the historical optimal interval since 2005 and their competitiveness was stably enhanced,despite of having some fluctuations.Through the ARIMA model,it is estimated that the industrial enterprises of Anhui Province in 2011 would maintain a steady growth trend without notable fluctuation.The key issues in this respect and the corresponding policy advices are also put forward.
Keywords:industrial enterprise  investigation  factor analysis model  ARIMA model estimation
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