加入WTO对江苏城市化进程影响初探

根据国务院发展研究中心可计算一般均衡模型（ＣＧＥ）模拟预测，我国加入ＷＴＯ的各项承诺在２００５年完成以后，ＧＤＰ将比不加入ＷＴＯ的情形提高１．５％。考虑改革开放以来江苏省 ＧＤＰ的年均增长率达到１２．６％，高于全国９．８％的水平，预计２００５年江苏省 ＧＤＰ将提高 １．９７％，ＧＤＰ增加 ５０亿元左右［１］。对江苏来说，加入世界贸易组织，增强国际经贸对江苏经济ＧＤＰ增长的贡献份额，不仅对近期扩大需求，拉动经济增长和中长期经济发展、初步实现现代化有重要的意义，而且通过对经济、对不同产业的影响进而影响与…

A Probe Into the Effect of Attending WTO on the Urbanization Progress in Jiangsu Province

Attending WTO will bring about great effect on China, as well as Jiangsu Province. The paper analyzes the effect from the following aspects. Under the background of economical globalization, information development and knowledge - based economy, attending WTO will promote the dynamic mechanism of urbanization to tend to high - level tertiary, instead Of industry. Attending WTO will produce comprehensive influence on the industries of Jiangsu Privince, and speed the economical efficiency, which in turn accelerates the urbanization. Then it will do good to develop out - oriented economy and be propitious to hi - tech development zones, which enlarges built - area and urban residents. Attending WTO will gain much more foreign investment, which can improve the infrastructure and the investment environment, and ameliorate the distribution of cities and towns system in the long run.