消费促进内需增长的经济分析

自2004年以来,我国经济增长结构发生了显著的变化。市场自发的投资行为逐步取代政府的积极财政政策,带动了国内投资的单边增长。在这种情况下,前几年出现的消费低靡、通货紧缩的现象是否就销声匿迹了呢?总供给的增加是否必然会导致总需求的增长呢?如果不是,那么应该如何看待当前的经济状况?在新的形势下,怎样通过刺激消费从而拉动内需增长呢?针对上述问题,本文做了简要的回答,并结合我国消费需求的现状,提出了相应的政策建议。

An Economic Analysis on Consumption Promoting the Growth of Domestic Demand

Since 2004, China's economic growth structure has changed significantly. Spontaneous investment behaviors in the market have gradually substituted the governmental positive fiscal policies, which has pushed forward the unilateral increase in domestic investment. Under such circumstances, does it mean that the phenomenon of languishing consumption and deflation in the past years disappear now? Does the increase in aggregate supply certainly bring about the growth in aggregate demand? If not, how should the current economic situation be regarded? How can the growth of domestic demand be promoted by spurring consumption under the new situation? This paper makes a brief reply to the above-mentioned questions and puts forward relevant policy advice according to the present situation of China's consumption demand.