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基于IPAT方程的大连水资源效率研究
引用本文:朱显成,刘则渊.基于IPAT方程的大连水资源效率研究[J].大连理工大学学报(社会科学版),2006,27(3):39-42.
作者姓名:朱显成  刘则渊
作者单位:1. 大连轻工业学院,辽宁,大连,116034;大连理工大学21世纪发展研究中心,辽宁,大连,116024
2. 大连理工大学21世纪发展研究中心,辽宁,大连,116024
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(70440004)
摘    要:基于E.Weizsaecker的四倍数思想,将P.Ehrlich提出的IPAT方程进行转换,建立水资源效率模型。根据水资源效率模型,利用大连地区GDP增长数据、水资源供给和消耗的数据,分四种情况讨论并计算出大连地区在“十一五”、“十二五”期间水资源合理用量和单位GDP水资源消耗需要降低的倍数。在2005、2010和2015年水资源效率分别提高1.2倍、1.5倍和2倍,比较符合大连地区发展的实际状况。

关 键 词:IPAT方程  水资源效率  单位GDP水资源消耗
文章编号:1008-407X(2006)03-0039-04
修稿时间:2006年4月1日

Study of Dalian water resources efficiency on IPAT equation
ZHU Xian-cheng,LIU Ze-yuan.Study of Dalian water resources efficiency on IPAT equation[J].Journal of Dalian University of Technology(Social Sciences),2006,27(3):39-42.
Authors:ZHU Xian-cheng  LIU Ze-yuan
Abstract:According to E.Weizsaecker's idea of quadruple,the authors convert the IPAT equation brought forward by P.Ehrlich,and establish a model about the efficiency of water resources.On the basis of this model,and with the data of the growth of GDP in Dalian area and the data of the supply and consumption of water resources,the authors study and make out the following problems about Dalian area in four cases: the reasonable consumption of water resources during the periods of "The 11th Five-Year Plan" and "The 12th Five-Year Plan",and the multiple of the water resources needs to be lowered per unit GDP.The authors deem that it will comparatively match the actual developing conditions of Dalian area if we increase the water resources efficiency by 1.2 times,1.5 times,and twice in 2005,2010 and 2015 respectively.
Keywords:IPAT equation  water resources efficiency  consumption of water resources per GDP
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